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12/08/12 at 03:34On September 26th, Japanese Prime Minister Noda Kahiko said in a speech at the meeting will be in accordance with international law ,to strive for the peaceful settlement of the territorial dispute illegal purchased from Japan island to stir up trouble date, China is prompt ,comprehensive response .
A month later ,Japan would not be nationalization recover ,China is not on the territory issue down half a step, both on the Diaoyu Islands issue into a stalemate .In the face of China furiously ,Japan started by low-key ignored ,to strive for international support initiative posture .
The military, Japan also actively deployed in Japan and the United States ,in Okinawa next month to hold a joint Island capture exercises . Island dispute persistent development .How to know yourself as well as the enemy ,to play the long war ?This reporter recently interviewed China Institute of contemporary international relations of Hu Jiping of director of Institute of japan .
Compromise is not easy to reach on the island dispute into a protracted war reporter :Japan by low-key response to a high-profile deal with ,what is the meaning? Hu Jiping : Japan illegally purchased island ,think this matter does not exist ,so the Chinese response low-key response .
With China ongoing civil protest ,protest ,both in the diplomatic impasse has attracted international attention ,at the sixty-seventh session of the general assembly has also been on the Diaoyu Islands dispute .
Japan said that the dispute has not ,now begin to turn to the international public opinion support, this point is clearly intended .No matter how to solve the problem ,strive for international support is very important .
It is the same .Reporter :between the two countries in the international public opinion to support what is ?Hu Jiping :say objectively ,from Europe ,the United States ,the majority opinion is supported by our reason ,think we stand ,it is advantage .
But on the other hand ,in September we had some problems ,including some violence problem ,indeed in the world has had a bad effect on .But the island sovereignty issues, most opinion is supported by our .
It is seen that, Japan began to everywhere in the world to lobby .Including foreign minister personally ,Ministry of foreign affairs instructed their embassies and consulates do the publicity work .
Reporter :previously, the Japanese media has released a compromise tone ,but the Japanese government while playing diplomacy warfare ,side and American preparatory exercises ,Japan willingness to compromise ,China is willing to compromise? Hu Jiping :even if the diplomatic position becomes loose somewhat ,Japan-US exercise or to continue to engage in (...) .
Japanese media released out of compromise ,actually agreed upon between the possibility is very small .China will not accept the Japanese claims to Japan ;clearly recognize controversial ,they are not willing to .
Because Japan was always denied the controversial (...) ,his recognition of words ,in the present case, he is very difficult to accept .China in the position will not compromise ,Japan sent out scheme is not up to the requirements of china .
Japan is engaged in an ambiguous ,1972 the Sino-Japanese joint statement involving the Taiwan issue, there are ambiguous expression .The Chinese is not acceptable, and Japan promise and then deny in succession ,do good to talk about the controversy aside ,now says there is no dispute, there is no consensus .
Forcing China realized the need to leave word ,clear .The Japanese then engaged in an ambiguous ,Chinese will not do .Reporter :in the day the Cold War confrontation ,whether to continue for a long time ,is it right? Until Japan hit a wall after? Hu Jiping :Japan is not hit the south wall of don .
Now the Diaoyu Island conflict itself, both sides at a stalemate .Japan Diaoyu Islands nationalization ,it is difficult for us to let him go back .Instead, we take some measures ,including the delineation of the baselines of the territorial sea ,ships cruising law enforcement ,these measures is difficult to step back (...) .
I now to stand for a period of time .During the stalemate period, the most important is how to fight for their own advantage .Japan Xuanba Hikaruichiro 2, said : now is the legal warfare ,information warfare .
Must be clear and easy to understand in the international community on China . It is to play and debate ,through diplomatic channels, through public opinion to propagate their ideas .In military power with respect to a is prepared, on the other hand is doing the show of force .
Japan foreign war ,we must not let down in a protracted war reporter :China advantage ?Hu Jiping :I think we have an advantage ,but also cannot let down .Because of Japan foreign propaganda ,including public diplomacy ability is very strong (...) .
For example, in 2010 after the collision ,was Japan processing errors ,then in Japan there are a lot of people including politicians are considered to be democratic government failure ,eventually led to the Sino-Japanese relations deteriorating situation .
However ,eventually because of Japanese public diplomacy is done well ,on international a lot of countries in turn criticized us chinese .Because at that time in Europe international meeting, Japanese prime minister went to Europe to say Chinese unreasonable, propaganda that Japan ,said Chinese bully them ,to the large pressure of small ,forcing the Japanese release .
The Japanese do badly ,we must not let down .Reporter :Chinese folk to boycott Japanese goods to China what effect is there? Hu Jiping :from the boycott of Japanese goods ,in the world should be no bad effect ,because the international community all know we boycott the reason .
Secondly ,it is a popular spontaneous choice ,not a mandatory government behavior ,so the problem in the world should not have too much negative influence .Of course ,if the relationship between the two countries have deteriorated to a certain extent ,the government must move economic sanctions ,that is another matter .
But now things have not been developed to the extent of .Reporter :Japan not to worry about a protracted war influence to Japanese economy ?Hu Jiping: of course I will worry about .Enterprises are worried that the government will have to worry about .
Japan is now the economy is not booming, especially since the second half of the year ,export volume drops ,may this year GDP will appear negative growth .If Sino-Japanese relations deteriorating ,a boycott of Japanese goods to continue it, will certainly have an impact on the Japanese economy, can saying is one disaster after another .
Reporter :it must fight a protracted war? Hu Jiping: Yeah, but to fight a protracted war ,Japan can not possibly be a yield .The Liberal Democratic Party came to power in Sino-Japanese relations to reporters :Noda Kahiko popularity at home than the LDP Abe Shinzo ,if Andouble came to power it, on the Diaoyu Islands issue in the field of thought would go on ?Hu Jiping: I personally think that ,if Andouble came to power it, may also appear to slow the possibility of relations between the two countries .
Although ideologically ,Andouble than the wild fields tend to be more conservative hawks ,color and more concentrated ,however ,the party itself than democratic experience some .The Democratic Party came to power in 3 years time ,policy sways very much, lack of political experience .
The 2010 collision processing results clearly proved this point (...) .The Liberal Democratic Party relatively abundant ,although he is conservative ,but he did not do what he want to .For example, Koizumi 2006 when ,Andouble is hardcore supporters ,said after the prime minister must also go to visit ,he became prime minister after not to visit ,when considering the situation and the requirement of big environment ,not politicians as prime minister to do anything, there is many factors affect the as a politician .
For instance ,many American president of China is very tough ,then will change .In this regard ,I judge Andouble came to power after the may make the relations between Japan and China tends to ease .
In September 28th, Andouble appointed Masahiko Komura as the LDP vice president ,Takamura, Japan-China friendship parliamentarians union president .After taking office, Takamura said ,if the democratic government is required, he is willing to help improve relations between China and japan .
Thus it can be seen ,the LDP government pay more attention to the overall situation of Sino-Japanese relations .Reporter :he is very promising again served as Prime Minister of Japan ?Hu Jiping :the current situation ,the democratic election is very likely to fail ,promising Andouble again served as Prime Minister of japan .
At present, both sides are talking about December or January next year to dissolve the house of Representatives held an election .Reporter: at present the Diaoyu Islands dispute whether for Japanese Peace Constitution ,breakthrough for self-defense right of collective self-defense restrictions provide a pretext ?Hu Jiping :the Japan Coast Guard Force in the Diaoyu Islands waters stretched, struggling to cope with .
Short term infield field government implements the new measures the likelihood is not too large ,the Diaoyu Islands nationalization is the Sino-Japanese relations so stiff ,extreme measures are unlikely to take further .
Again, Japan now chaotic ,govement-opposition relations have been tense .In the field before stepping down the intensification of the contradictions is unlikely ,there may be some changes in the rise to power of Andouble .
So ,after Andouble came to power ,on one hand may moderate the Sino-Japanese relations, on the other hand, it may also modify the constitution ,modify the right of collective self-defense .These are his last when the prime minister when trying to do .
He earlier had said ,if it is against the proposal to amend the constitution of the people ,not qualified when the LDP candidates .Whether we can accomplish this proposition is another matter ,once after Andouble came to power http://www.moncleroutletinboutique.com ,he must try to do it .
In a modified right of collective self-defense ,Andouble was in office has established an advisory panel of experts .This year the Diaoyu Islands event after coming out, modify the right of collective self-defense thing mentioned .
Japan always use diplomatic tensions ,the security threat and opportunity to drive this thing ,this is without a doubt .The United States of America on the Diaoyu Islands issue how to reporters :the United States put forward to return to the Asia-Pacific strategy ,the dispute would become the United States to return to the important step ?Hu Jiping :I generally agree with the dispute is Japan own making .
This statement .The United States has neither hopes Sino-Japanese two reconciled, compromise ,also do not want two war .After the war the United States will occur (...) ,or not involved in the problems facing in .
In words ,the two big country facing war ,risk not ;not involved in it, but also relates to the alliance system credit problem .The United States against an ally unfulfilled promise ,the other allies will not believe the United States of america .
So the United States to face the problem http://www.moncleroutletinboutique.com .Old Japanese let America that the Diaoyu Islands is suitable for Japan-US Security Treaty ,in fact, the United States of America real idea is best not used ,not to the development of one step .
In addition ,the United States did not hope that China and Japan have the Diaoyu Islands this problem ,in day really compromise and solves the dispute ,the United States is not willing to see .
Reporter :the United States will use the Osprey transport aircraft of the deployment ,the Futenma base problem easily solved? Hu Jiping :the United States of America on the Osprey transport aircraft ,F22 ,X band radar deployment has been done .
Japan Morimoto Min and others and the United States of America idea extremely close ,try every means to strengthen the US-Japan alliance .The United States using the Diaoyu Island conflict to each of these things .
In addition ,Sino-Japanese two countries and the United States is not willing to see .Current treatment problems between Japan and the Soviet Union ,the United States is such interference .
On 1956 the Soviet Union the four northern islands ( called the South Kuril Islands, Russia ) to compromise, the Soviet Union would also teeth dance ,color red two island ,and Japanese representations ,began to Japan would consent to such a plan ,and later because of the United States would not ,becomes now the state .
Estimation of the Diaoyu Islands territorial disputes ,Americans don the real solution .China should how to deal with the current situation in China is seeking foreign aid :reporter ,rely on its own strength to win the long war victory ?Hu Jiping :not yet must use extreme means to solve China ,can rely on oneself force solves .
And Russia do exercise can be, after all two countries have the same place .Russian day ,in the day of territorial disputes and the history of the Second World War the .In addition ,the extreme is the last resort ,some people talk about it, not all of a sudden to make out, there is no other means will make ,because no one was willing to fight .
Reporter :once started ,would be local war or war ?Hu Jiping :in Japan, the three parties who do not want to make large scale war .By ships at sea and enforcement measures for the initiative, the cost is relatively low .
At the end of 9, Maehara Makotoshi Kobe said , China provocative purpose is to make Japan dispatched militia ,Japan could not be swindled ,could not move ,or through the hall of maritime security personnel to strengthen the control of the Diaoyu islands .
Reporter :a breakthrough in a stalemate where ,we should do what? Hu Jiping :look at present not to breach in where .If the sea is something else happening accident, might be a fuse ,may also be a turning point (...) .
For example, the Japanese landed on the island ,we must have reaction .Only in times of crisis ,both sides will go on a walk ,which is both crisis and opportunity .At present ,the standoffs at the same time ,we also need to do other work (...) ,foreign public opinion conflicts can not relax ,some military means to also want to continue to do ,make provision against a rainy day .